KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
No, ≥1% · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
No, ≥1% 67%Líder entre 8 opciones
No, ≥1% 67%Calidad del mercado
42 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
894,9 €
Interés abierto
10,7 mil €
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
No, ≥1%Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
22 sept 26, 3:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · No, ≥1%
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)
KalshiCalifornia Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent
KalshiWill California Proposition 38 ($8.4B immunology research bond) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 42 (ban on new state personal property taxes) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
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Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 41 (tax limits and special-tax audits) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:California Secretary of State
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by No minus the vote share received by the option that finishes immediately behind No if No wins, or the option that finishes first if No loses. If No wins, the margin will be positive; if No loses, the margin will be negative; if No ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Reglas de cada resultado
- No, ≥1%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥10%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥4%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥13%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 13%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥16%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥7%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥19%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 19%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥22%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 22%, then the market resolves to Yes.
