KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: SDA (93%)
Resuelto: 24 oct 2026, 21:58
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivoDatos obsoletos
Datos del 24 oct 2026, 21:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Naša Stranka0%
PDP0%
SDA93%
SNSD81%
SDP BiH1%
HDZ BiH71%
NES6%
SDS6%
SDAGanada
Antes del cierre: 93% ·
SNSDPerdida
Antes del cierre: 4% ·
HDZ BiHPerdida
Antes del cierre: 3% ·
NESPerdida
SDSPerdida
NiPPerdida
Antes del cierre: 5% ·
DFPerdida
Antes del cierre: 5% ·
SDP BiHPerdida
Naša StrankaPerdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
PDPPerdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If SDA wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:CIK BiH: Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Reglas de cada resultado
- SDA
- If SDA wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SNSD
- If SNSD wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- HDZ BiH
- If HDZ BiH wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- NES
- If NES wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SDS
- If SDS wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- NiP
- If NiP wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- DF
- If DF wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SDP BiH
- If SDP BiH wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Naša Stranka
- If Naša Stranka wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- PDP
- If PDP wins the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes.