KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: 39.4 to 39.6 (95%)
Evidencia de resolución limitada
CoinRithm puede mostrar el resultado registrado, pero no todos los campos de liquidación están verificados por el proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
39.4 to 39.6 86.4%+48.0ptLíder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
26,9 mil €
Liquidez
81,7 mil €
Alta liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado14 ago 26, 15:2021 ago 26, 14:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
38.8 to 39.028%
Below 38.84%
39.1 to 39.33%
39.4 to 39.695%
39.7 to 39.93%
86.4%
4.5%
2.7%
2.7%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Reglas
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.4 and 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.7 and 39.9% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
