KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Nov 4 40%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
62,8 €
Baja liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
20 ago 26, 14:00 UTC4 nov 26, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Associated Press
- The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or equivalent clear language indicating the outlet has determined the winner.
- The call must appear on one of the outlet's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is their primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the outlet's platform, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication.
- If the call is later retracted, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes based on the initial call time.
- Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify as definitive calls.
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Nov 4 al 40% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority??
- Está previsto que When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? se resuelva el 4 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.