Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección1m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualBefore Jan 1, 2027 32%
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
18,4 €
Liquidez
1,2 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
9.0% / 14.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
4 jun 26, 20:001 sept 26, 3:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before Sep 1, 202614%
Comparar plataformas· Before Jan 1, 2027
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general80% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 5% | — | 30,5 € | 8,6 mil € | hace 9 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Baja | 32% | — | 18,4 € | 1,2 mil € | hace 9 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by which date?
0.4 ptsCerrados
-0.4pt5%
-1.6pt0%
0%
58 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoLiquidez media
Volumen total357,9 mil €
Volumen 24h30,5 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$218 jul13d de datos27 jul
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If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.