KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualDerek Tran 80.8%
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
11,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
78.0% / 84.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
1 jul 25, 14:003 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Derek Tran80%
Comparar plataformas· Derek Tran
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general60% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 87% | — | 217,9 € | 26,5 mil € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Baja | 80% | — | 0 € | 11,9 mil € | hace 17 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
CA-45 House Election Winner
1.0 pts3m
87%
-1.0pt13%
0%
+5 resultados más
69 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoAlta liquidez
Volumen total13,5 mil €
Volumen 24h217,9 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$1053 jul10d de datos26 jul
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If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.