PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: FRA vs ESP / ENG vs ARG (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 12, 2026, 11:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probabilityFRA vs ESP / ENG vs ARG 100%+50.5%Leader of 17 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$12.8K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingProbability Timeline
FRA vs BEL / NOR vs SUI3%
FRA vs ESP / NOR vs ARG28%
FRA vs ESP / ENG vs ARG46%
Other0%
FRA vs ESP / NOR vs SUI8%
FRA vs ESP / ENG vs SUI28%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$4.4k38.8%Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Yes0x71e9…bc322d ago
Volume trend
$12.8kJul 85d of dataJul 12
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This market will resolve in favor of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups determined by the teams that advance from the Quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed matchup to occur in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.