PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability1+ matches 100%+0.5%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$66.9K
Liquidity
$50.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
6.3%
Moderate spread7d Change
-4.0%
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jun 11, 26, 3:01 PMJul 20, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
3+ matches98%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result.
- Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.