PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilitySpain 100%+25.4ptLeader of 48 outcomes
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-11.7 pts
Market data
Updated 14 days ago
StaleJun 2, 26, 2:54 PMJul 13, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Croatia4%
Norway19%
Portugal23%
DR Congo1%
South Africa1%
Switzerland0%
Brazil29%
Australia2%
Japan8%
Ivory Coast3%
Algeria2%
Paraguay5%
Mexico22%
USA18%
Egypt4%
Cape Verde1%
Spain48%
Morocco23%
Belgium25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Spain
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall95% match · verified | Low | 99% | — | $429.1K | $4M | 15 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $1.6K | $0 | 14 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
FIFA World Cup Semifinals Qualifiers
36.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Argentina (99%)
+24.0pt99%
+34.0pt99%
99%
+45 more outcomes
49 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$6.8M
24h Vol$429.1K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.0k76.0%KALSHIArgentina — Yes15d ago
KALSHIArgentina — Yes15d ago$1.8k99.0%KALSHIEngland — Yes15d ago
KALSHIEngland — Yes15d ago$1.4k69.0%KALSHIBelgium — No16d ago
KALSHIBelgium — No16d ago$1.6k79.0%KALSHIFrance — Yes17d ago
KALSHIFrance — Yes17d ago$3.5k78.0%KALSHIFrance — Yes18d ago
KALSHIFrance — Yes18d ago$1.5k78.0%KALSHIFrance — Yes18d ago
KALSHIFrance — Yes18d ago$1.5k73.8%POLYMARKETWill Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — NoLeRoiSoleil19d ago
POLYMARKETWill Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — NoLeRoiSoleil19d ago$4.2k87.0%KALSHISwitzerland — No20d ago
KALSHISwitzerland — No20d agoVolume trend
$1.6kJul 212d of dataJul 13
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This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.