Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 10:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 1%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleNov 8, 23, 5:44 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes1%
Volume trend
$10.7kJul 107d of dataJul 20
Related Markets
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion
$14.9KGermany: 7%
KALSHI
KALSHIWill FIFA allow Trump to move even one 2026 World Cup venue?
$1.6KYes: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Shakira monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?
$977.7↑ 107m: 89%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhich player will score the winning goal in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? [ADD ANSWERS]
$414.8Lionel Messi: 0.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will be the top goalscorer at the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$409.5Kylian Mbappe: 7.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
CF Pachuca vs Queretaro FC: First Team to Score
$190.7No Goal: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Worldcoin’s WLD Jumps 8% on Grayscale ETF FilingDecrypt
Grayscale files for Worldcoin ETF as WLD price breaks higherCrypto News
Grayscale could take Worldcoin to Wall Street after ETF filing with the SECThe Block
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindeskRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.