PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilitySwitzerland 100%+60.5ptLeader of 48 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$66.7K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-50.5 pts
Market data
Updated 18 days ago
StaleProbability Timeline
Germany31%
Ecuador14%
Canada27%
Turkiye11%
Spain67%
Curacao0%
Portugal32%
Austria12%
Croatia13%
Panama2%
Sweden5%
Cape Verde8%
Czechia3%
Uruguay8%
Saudi Arabia3%
USA47%
Senegal16%
Morocco29%
Argentina84%
Mexico47%
South Africa4%
New Zealand1%
Algeria7%
South Korea2%
Scotland0%
Japan17%
Iran6%
Paraguay2%
Ghana10%
Ivory Coast12%
DR Congo3%
England54%
Australia6%
Brazil70%
Colombia0%
Switzerland100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Switzerland
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals Qualifiers
14.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Argentina (99%)
+14.0pt99%
+52.0pt99%
99%
+43 more outcomes
49 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$7.8M
24h Vol$477K
KALSHI
Also available on Manifold Markets
Which countries will make the FIFA World Cup Quarter Finals?
Closed
+1.0pt100%
+1.0pt100%
+1.0pt100%
+45 more outcomes
Community forecast46 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Limitless
World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals
Closed
99.5%
99.5%
95.6%
+7 more outcomes
7 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$159.5
24h Vol$10
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.1k55.0%KALSHIEgypt — Yes20d ago
KALSHIEgypt — Yes20d ago$1.2k62.0%KALSHIColombia — Yes20d ago
KALSHIColombia — Yes20d ago$4.9k85.0%KALSHIArgentina — Yes20d ago
KALSHIArgentina — Yes20d ago$2.3k62.0%KALSHISpain — Yes21d ago
KALSHISpain — Yes21d ago$1.2k62.0%KALSHISpain — Yes21d ago
KALSHISpain — Yes21d ago$1.0k47.0%KALSHIBelgium — Yes21d ago
KALSHIBelgium — Yes21d ago$1.1k53.0%KALSHIEngland — No22d ago
KALSHIEngland — No22d ago$1.4k52.0%KALSHIMexico — Yes22d ago
KALSHIMexico — Yes22d agoVolume trend
$66.7kJul 27d of dataJul 8
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This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.