PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Argentina (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilityArgentina 100%+22.4ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+38.5 pts
Market data
Updated 19 days ago
StaleJun 3, 26, 9:54 PMJul 20, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Argentina80%
Colombia18%
Country A0%
Other0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Argentina
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Limitless
World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation
Closed
Resolved
Argentina (99.6%)
99.6%
0.4%
23 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$3.5K
24h Vol$1.1K
LIMITLESS
Also available on Kalshi
Furthest Advancing South American Nation
23.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Argentina (99%)
+23.0pt93.4%
+2.0pt2.8%
-24.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$545.2K
24h Vol$113.4K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.2k24.0%KALSHIArgentina — No20d ago
KALSHIArgentina — No20d ago$4.0k75.0%KALSHIArgentina — Yes21d ago
KALSHIArgentina — Yes21d agoVolume trend
$2.2kJul 27d of dataJul 8
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This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.