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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Sports
  3. Furthest Advancing South American Nation
Furthest Advancing South American Nation

Furthest Advancing South American Nation

1.0% (24h)One-OffSportsSoccerLatin AmericaFIFA World Cup1mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Argentina
Argentina 37%+1.0%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$103.4

Liquidity

$469.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

35.0% / 37.0%

Spread

5.7%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

May 18, 26, 10:00 PMAug 2, 26, 10:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Argentina37%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation

World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation

0.5%1mo
Country A
Country A
50%
Other
Other
50%
Argentina
Argentina
-0.5%39%

+5 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$15.8K
24h Vol$3.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If Argentina is the furthest advancing South American nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves based on the South American nation that advances to the furthest stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup.
  • Applicable stages: Group Stage Round of 32 Round of 16 Quarterfinals Semifinals Lose the Final Win the Final
  • If multiple South American nations tie for the furthest stage advanced to, payouts will be as follows: Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout
  • For settlement purposes, a country is considered part of a continent based on the FIFA World Cup qualification pathway it competes through, rather than strict geographic borders.
  • South America (CONMEBOL) Nations Competing in the World Cup: Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Uruguay

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If Argentina is the furthest advancing South American nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves based on the South American nation that advances to the furthest stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup.
  • Applicable stages: Group Stage Round of 32 Round of 16 Quarterfinals Semifinals Lose the Final Win the Final
  • If multiple South American nations tie for the furthest stage advanced to, payouts will be as follows: Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout
  • For settlement purposes, a country is considered part of a continent based on the FIFA World Cup qualification pathway it competes through, rather than strict geographic borders.
  • South America (CONMEBOL) Nations Competing in the World Cup: Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Uruguay