Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 10, 2026, 8:19 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 74.5%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleJul 9, 26, 5:40 AMMar 31, 30, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes75%
Volume trend
$28Jul 92d of dataJul 10
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