PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 16 (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability16 100%+68.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$29.4K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+79.5 pts
Market data
Updated 21 days ago
StaleJun 7, 26, 5:11 PMJul 19, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Semifinals20%
Quarterfinals32%
Other0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· 16
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall88% match · verified | Low | 34% | — | $12.3K | $154.7K | 22 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Low | 100% | — | $29.4K | $0 | 21 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Brazil: Stage of Elimination
5.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Round of 16 (34%)
+5.0pt34%
+2.0pt33%
-12.0pt14%
+4 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$256.8K
24h Vol$12.3K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Brazil is eliminated.
- If Brazil wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
- If Brazil is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Brazil based on the best available official information.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$29.4kJul 25d of dataJul 6
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This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Brazil is eliminated.
- If Brazil wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
- If Brazil is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Brazil based on the best available official information.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.