World Cup: Argentina Stage of Elimination
40.8 pts (24h)SportsOne-OffSoccerLatin AmericaFIFA World Cup
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Final (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 12:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probabilityFinal 100%+40.5ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$51.6K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-18.6 pts
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleJun 5, 26, 10:48 PMJul 19, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Final100%
Other0%
320%
Quarterfinals0%
160%
Semifinals0%
Champion0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Final
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall88% match · verified | Low | 98% | — | $559.6K | $927.2K | 7 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $51.6K | $0 | 6 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Argentina: Stage of Elimination
41.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Runner-Up (98%)
+40.0pt94.2%
-41.0pt1%
-52.0pt1%
+4 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.8M
24h Vol$559.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Argentina is eliminated.
- If Argentina wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
- If Argentina is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Argentina based on the best available official information.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$4.2k44.0%KALSHIOutright Winner — Yes8d ago
KALSHIOutright Winner — Yes8d ago$1.1k42.0%KALSHIOutright Winner — Yes8d ago
KALSHIOutright Winner — Yes8d ago$2.4k42.0%KALSHIOutright Winner — Yes9d ago
KALSHIOutright Winner — Yes9d ago$1.2k41.1%POLYMARKETWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? — Nogeorgecalinescu863510d ago
POLYMARKETWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? — Nogeorgecalinescu863510d ago$2.6k75.0%KALSHIQuarterfinals — No19d ago
KALSHIQuarterfinals — No19d agoVolume trend
$51.6kJul 219d of dataJul 20
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This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Argentina is eliminated.
- If Argentina wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
- If Argentina is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Argentina based on the best available official information.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.