PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityFrance 65%-1.0%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$74K
Liquidity
$192.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
64.0% / 65.0%
Spread
1.6%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 7:46 PMJul 19, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
France65%
Compare venues· France
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 65% | 0pt | $74K | $192.7K | 10 minutes ago | |
 Limitless96% match · auto | Low | 64% | -1pt | $0 | $0 | 40 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
World Cup: 3rd Place Finish
3d
64%
50%
36.5%
+1 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., wins the third-place match/playoff).
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in third place.
- If multiple teams are officially awarded third place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for third place), the market will resolve to "No".
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 3rd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.3k64.0%POLYMARKETWill England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Nosleepy-panda21h ago
POLYMARKETWill England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — Nosleepy-panda21h agoVolume trend
$74.0kJul 134d of dataJul 16
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (i.e., wins the third-place match/playoff).
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in third place.
- If multiple teams are officially awarded third place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament or eliminated from contention for third place), the market will resolve to "No".
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,, or there is otherwise no 3rd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other".