Current implied probability
Yes 9%-0.0%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$30
Liquidity
$906.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 10.0%
Spread
42.9%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 4:12 PMSep 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes9%
Volume trend
$30Jul 243d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
$80Yes: 51%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
CPI in July
$5.6KAbove -0.1%: 86%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Unemployment in July
$2.5KAbove 4.3%: 16%KALSHI
KALSHIUnemployment in August
$282Above 4.2%: 60%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many jobs added in July?
$050k – 100k: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US unemployment rate above 4.2% in July?
$0Yes: 45%FUTUUR
FUTUURActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve "Yes" if the D4 Exceptional Drought value shown in the official U.S.
- Drought Monitor's weekly "Categorical Percent Area" statistics table for Virginia published by the National Drought Mitigation Center at https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspx?dregion,4 is 1.00% or greater in any weekly release published from market creation through August 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
- D4 Exceptional Drought is defined as described at https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/About/AbouttheData.aspx.
- "Virginia" means the entire State of Virginia as recognized under U.S. law.
- Eligibility is determined solely by the release's publication date, not the date its underlying map data is valid "as of" (USDM releases are typically published on Thursday but reflect conditions as of the preceding Tuesday), except as provided in the force majeure clause below.