Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023?
Tech
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Apr 1, 2023, 7:51 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleJan 9, 23, 12:00 AMMar 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by March 31, 2023.
- A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- If the Starship completes a successful launch by March 31 2023 , 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
