Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March?
Tech
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Mar 1, 2024, 7:02 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleDec 27, 23, 7:56 PMFeb 29, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
If any Starship successfully launches from its launchpad between December 26, 2023, and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome.
- Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
- When does Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? resolve?
- Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? is scheduled to resolve on February 29, 2024.
- How is Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: If any Starship successfully launches from its launchpad between December 26, 2023, and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.