PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (100%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 6:03 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityNo 100%
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$389.4
Liquidity
$4.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.2%
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 27 days ago
StaleSep 25, 25, 9:39 PMJun 30, 26, 11:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall88% match · verified | Low | 75% | — | $0 | $10.1K | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Low | 100% | — | $389.4 | $4.8K | 27 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
5mo
75%
25%
42 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$38.1K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying product must be named "MacBook".
- A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
- In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe.
- An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
$695K280-299: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
$242.1K220-239: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by which date?
$106.4KSeptember 30: 83%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027
$41.7KYes: 14%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Rain in Chicago in Jul 2026?
$26.8KAbove 4 inches: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will it rain on Jul 28, 2026?
$22.9KPhoenix: 13%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Velo Reveals New Orbit Plus Upgrade to Offer Multi-Wallet SupportBlockchain Reporter
Microsoft Says MDASH Beats Claude Mythos and GPT-5.6 Sol in Cybersecurity TestDecrypt
Nvidia, Microsoft and IBM Launch Open Secure AI Alliance to Strengthen AI CybersecurityDecrypt
Kimi-K3 Scales to 2.8T Parameters on AMD Instinct GPUsBlockchain.News
Circle Buys IBM Blockchain Patent Estate—And Becomes America's Biggest HolderDecrypt
Tesla wins UK 5G patent appeal over $32 feeCrypto NewsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying product must be named "MacBook".
- A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
- In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe.
- An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.