This market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Jun 11, 2026, 5:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityNo 99%
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$114.1
Liquidity
$3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 1.7%
Spread
1.6 pt
Tight spread7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 46 days ago
StaleAug 20, 25, 5:23 PMJun 10, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
No99%
Yes1%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $114.1 | $3K | 46 days ago | |
 KalshiMost active85% match · verified | Low | 95% | — | $237.5 | $222.3 | 46 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Will any 2026 World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad before Jun 11, 2026?
4.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
No (95%)
95%
+4.0pt5%
20 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$38.3K
24h Vol$237.5
KALSHIRules
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to begin on Thursday, June 11, and conclude on Sunday, July 19.
- More information about the match schedule can be found here (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026/articles/match-schedule-fixtures-results-teams-stadiums).
- According to ESPN, there have been complaints about the summertime heat across America, causing FIFA to consider relocating the 2026 World Cup out of the United States.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any game originally scheduled to be held in the U.S. to be relocated to a location outside of the U.S. by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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The 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to begin on Thursday, June 11, and conclude on Sunday, July 19.
- More information about the match schedule can be found here (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026/articles/match-schedule-fixtures-results-teams-stadiums).
- According to ESPN, there have been complaints about the summertime heat across America, causing FIFA to consider relocating the 2026 World Cup out of the United States.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any game originally scheduled to be held in the U.S. to be relocated to a location outside of the U.S. by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.