PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 26, 2026, 12:03 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:02 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Boston, MA13%
Atlanta, GA0%
Chicago, IL1%
Dallas, TX0%
Houston, TX0%
Los Angeles, CA0%
Miami, FL0%
New Orleans, LA0%
New York, NY1%
Philadelphia, PA50%
Phoenix, AZ0%
San Francisco, CA0%
Seattle, WA0%
Washington, DC50%
Atlanta, GALost
Boston, MALost
Chicago, ILLost
Dallas, TXLost
Houston, TXLost
Los Angeles, CALost
Miami, FLLost
New Orleans, LALost
New York, NYLost
Philadelphia, PALost
Phoenix, AZLost
San Francisco, CALost
Seattle, WALost
Washington, DCLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on October 24, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
- A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
- The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
- The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time.