Current implied probability
World Champion 94%+46.0%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$6.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
28.0% / 32.0%
Spread
14.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 9:15 PMJul 4, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
World Champion94%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the English live broadcast of the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest, scheduled for July 4, 2026, with coverage beginning at approximately 10:30 AM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- This market will resolve based on the events of the entire official live broadcast, beginning from the start of the pre-show/early coverage and continuing uninterrupted through the conclusion of the men's competition, including the women's competition and any eat-off or tiebreaker, if applicable.
- All remarks made live at any point during the broadcast, including pre-contest, between-contest, and post-contest commentary, will be considered, up until the broadcast ends.
- If the contest is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
- If this contest is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point.