PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Category 5 96.1%-0.1ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Category 5 96.1%-0.1ptMarket quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$7K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
2
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 9:11 PM UTCOct 16, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Rules
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Hurricane Polo.
- Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Polo in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm.
- The category is stated in the advisory and is determined by maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average): Category 1 is 74 to 95 mph, the named outcome is 96 to 110 mph, the named outcome is 111 to 129 mph, the named outcome is 130 to 156 mph, and the named outcome is 157 mph or greater.
- Each category includes both of its stated bounds, so every possible peak wind speed falls in exactly one category.
- Wind speeds will be used exactly as published by the National Hurricane Center, without rounding.
- The National Hurricane Center reports maximum sustained winds in increments of 5 mph.
