PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Up 50%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$0.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 99.0%
Spread
98.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 12:01 PM UTCSep 22, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 156.25 on September 22, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) on September 22, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower.
- If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date.
- Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET.
Open markets
Foreign ExchangePOLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-1.4pt56.7%
- SpaceX+1.5pt42.3%
- OpenAI-0.1pt1%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.1M
- 24h Vol
- $7.5K
KALSHIEUR/USD price range on Sep 22, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- 1.14400 to 1.1459933%
- 1.14800 to 1.1499921%
- 1.14600 to 1.1479916%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.5K
- 24h Vol
- $4.5K
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of December?
- 2.0 - 2.5M+4.5pt35.5%
- 2.5 - 3.0M27.1%
- <2.0M+3.5pt14.9%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
- 2.2M++2.0pt88.6%
- 2.1-2.2M-0.7pt3.8%
- 2.0-2.1M-0.9pt2.9%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ 100.50+22.9pt100%
- ↑ 100.00+19.4pt100%
- ↑ 99.50+41.3pt100%
+25 more outcomes
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- 2.2 to 2.5M+6.5pt77.8%
- 2.5 to 2.8M-9.0pt10.1%
- <2.2M-0.5pt9.1%
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- GBPUSD price on Sep 25 at 5:00 PM EDT
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on September 22??
- Polymarket prices Up at 50% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on September 22? resolve?
- US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on September 22? is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on September 22? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) on September 22, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day.