PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Down
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 1:13 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 1:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
DownWon
UpLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) on October 20, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower.
- If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date.
- Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET.