UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
30.4 pts (24h)Combat SportsOne-OffSportsSoccer
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 12, 2026, 4:32 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor 100%+30.4ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9.1M
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+33.5 pts
Market data
Updated 50 days ago
StaleMay 18, 26, 3:35 AMJul 12, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Fight won by submission?17%
O/U 0.5 Rounds0%
O/U 4.5 Rounds25%
O/U 3.5 Rounds35%
O/U 1.5 Rounds60%
Fight to Go the Distance?23%
McGregor to win by KO/TKO?22%
O/U 2.5 Rounds53%
Holloway to win by KO/TKO?100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs.
- It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner.
- If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
