PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Nov 14, 2026, 10:52 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 14, 2026, 10:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Decision or Draw 100%+55.8ptLeader of 19 outcomes
Decision or Draw 100%+55.8ptMarket quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$264.1K
Liquidity
$147.7K
High liquidityOpen interest
$232.6K
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+48.5 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 31, 26, 10:01 PM UTCNov 15, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Sanches to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by decision?100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
Fight to Go the Distance?100%
Ends before Round 3?0%
Sanches in Round 20%
Evan Elder100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds — Over60%
Decision or Draw100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds — Over89%
O/U 2.5 Rounds — Over100%
Elder in Round 10%
Elder in Round 20%
Elder in Round 30%
Elder to win by KO/TKO?0%
Ends before Round 2?0%
Sanches in Round 10%
Sanches in Round 30%
Decision or Draw100%
Evan Elder100%
Fight to Go the Distance?100%
Fight won by decision?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds — Over100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds — Over100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds — Over100%
Elder in Round 10%
Elder in Round 20%
Elder in Round 30%
Elder to win by KO/TKO?0%
Ends before Round 2?0%
Ends before Round 3?0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
Sanches in Round 10%
Sanches in Round 20%
Sanches in Round 30%
Sanches to win by KO/TKO?0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
PolymarketUFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
PolymarketUFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)
PolymarketUFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
PolymarketUFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
PolymarketUFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "the named outcome" if the named outcome is officially declared the winner of the fight against Samuel Sanches at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.
- It will resolve to "Samuel Sanches" if Samuel Sanches is officially declared the winner.
- If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
