PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityTadej Pogačar 51%-17.0%Leader of 113 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$6.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
34.0% / 68.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-12.5%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 2, 26, 9:51 PMAug 9, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Tadej Pogačar51%
Compare venues· Adam Yates
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 41% | +4pt | $1.2K | $6.2K | 4 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi62% match · auto | Medium | 0% | -37pt | $976.5 | $3K | 24 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Tour de France: Polka Dot Jersey Winner
9.0%19d
-9.0%60%
+9.0%29%
0%
+97 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.5K
24h Vol$976.5
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Polka Dot Jersey for the 2026 Tour De France.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by UCI rules.
- If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.2kJul 514d of dataJul 21
Related Markets
3M Open Winner
$12.9MBrice Garnett: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
LeBron James' Next Team
$12.2MPhiladelphia: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
Watanuki vs Ilagan
$3.9MAndre Ilagan: 35%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
$3.9MHarry Kane: 39%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NBA: LeBron James Next Team
$3MMiami Heat: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NBA: 2027 Champion
$994.2KOklahoma City Thunder: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Galaxy Digital’s $75 Million Texas Tech Stadium Deal Is Crypto’s Boldest Branding Bet YetBlockchain Reporter
Galaxy Digital plants its name on Texas Tech football stadiumCrypto News
Galaxy Digital puts its name on Texas Tech football stadium in 15-year partnershipThe Block
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds put Mbappé at 32.5% to win 2026 Ballon d'Or after +5.45ppBlockchain.News
SodaBot Integrates with SportixAI to Advance AI-Powered SportsFI InfrastructureBlockchain ReporterRules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Polka Dot Jersey for the 2026 Tour De France.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by UCI rules.
- If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.