This market resolved: Up (100%)
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, 10:59 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Up
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
55%
Current implied probabilityUp 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$90.2K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 24 days ago
StaleJul 1, 26, 12:00 PMJul 2, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up100%
Down0%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Up
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
Closed
Resolved
Yes (45%)
55%
45%
25 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.9K
24h Vol$3.9K
KALSHI
Also available on Limitless
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
No (97.9%)
97.8%
2.2%
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$316K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, July 2, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, July 2, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
- If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.0k69.5%POLYMARKETUp0xbe4e…d0c626d ago
POLYMARKETUp0xbe4e…d0c626d agoVolume trend
$90.2kJul 22d of dataJul 3
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, July 2, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, July 2, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
- If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.