Current implied probability
Up 51.5%
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$12.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
51.0% / 52.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 2:27 PMJul 28, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Up52%
Volume trend
$3.7kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
- If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.