This market resolved: Down (100%)
Resolved: Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 13, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Down
- Recorded
- Jul 13, 2026, 9:15 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityDown 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$162.9
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleJul 10, 26, 12:01 PMJul 13, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Down
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $162.9 | $6.6K | 13 days ago | |
 Limitless88% match · auto | Low | 98% | — | $0 | $0 | 13 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
No (97.9%)
97.9%
2.1%
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$27K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on July 13, 2026 is higher than the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on July 13, 2026 is lower than the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$163Jul 122d of dataJul 13
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on July 13, 2026 is higher than the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on July 13, 2026 is lower than the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.