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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Space
  3. SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

One-OffSpace6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 0%
Market quality

48 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$50

Liquidity

$19.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 0.1%

7d Change

-3.5%

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Dec 23, 25, 12:56 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Yes
Yes
0%
No
No
100%

Selected outcome

Yes0%

Rules

Investor Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public through a merger with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd., a company founded and run by Ackman to innovatively transact public offerings through the use of Special Purpose Acquisition Rights or “SPARs” (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2002484983123136990).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met:
  • - An agreed merger or business combination deal between SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. - An offering of “SPARs” to Tesla Shareholders or other individuals which represent a subscription warrant to purchase shares in a business combination of Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. and SpaceX is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official announcement of an agreed merger/combination of these two companies or a SPAR offering of subscription warrants to purchase shares in a combination of these companies will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the merger or SPAR offering actually occurs.
  • If SpaceX goes public through another means, (i.e.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

Investor Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public through a merger with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd., a company founded and run by Ackman to innovatively transact public offerings through the use of Special Purpose Acquisition Rights or “SPARs” (see: https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2002484983123136990).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met:
  • - An agreed merger or business combination deal between SpaceX and Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. - An offering of “SPARs” to Tesla Shareholders or other individuals which represent a subscription warrant to purchase shares in a business combination of Pershing Square SPARC Holdings Ltd. and SpaceX is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official announcement of an agreed merger/combination of these two companies or a SPAR offering of subscription warrants to purchase shares in a combination of these companies will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the merger or SPAR offering actually occurs.
  • If SpaceX goes public through another means, (i.e.