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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Corporate Actions
  3. Pershing Square acquires Universal Music Group by June 30?
Pershing Square acquires Universal Music Group by June 30?

Pershing Square acquires Universal Music Group by June 30?

0.1% (24h)One-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 1%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$4.2K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.0% / 1.9%

Spread

90.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Apr 8, 26, 10:34 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes1%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is officially announced that Universal Music Group will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Pershing Square, Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, or any affiliated Pershing Square acquisition vehicle by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A qualifying acquisition must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Universal Music Group by Pershing Square, Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, or an affiliated Pershing Square acquisition vehicle.
  • A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms.
  • Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
  • Any merger between Universal Music Group and Pershing Square, Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, or an affiliated Pershing Square acquisition vehicle will qualify.

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is officially announced that Universal Music Group will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Pershing Square, Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, or any affiliated Pershing Square acquisition vehicle by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A qualifying acquisition must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Universal Music Group by Pershing Square, Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, or an affiliated Pershing Square acquisition vehicle.
  • A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms.
  • Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
  • Any merger between Universal Music Group and Pershing Square, Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, or an affiliated Pershing Square acquisition vehicle will qualify.