PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 6:26 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 6:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Women's 2%-4.5pt
Women's 2%-4.5ptMarket quality
16 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$768.4
Liquidity
$816.9
Low liquidityOpen interest
$882.7
Bid / Ask
- / 3.1%
Comments
0
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleOct 29, 26, 8:48 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Women's2%
Men's1%
Women's2%
Men's1%
Related Markets
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an athlete representing the United States wins the listed division (Men's Open Division or Women's Open Division) of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Country designation will be determined by the official results.
- If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
