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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

TechOne-OffBusiness & Corporate18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 5%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$30

Liquidity

$1.2K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.0% / 6.0%

Spread

50.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-9.0%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Mar 31, 26, 8:23 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes5%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikita Bier ceases to be Head of Product of X for any length of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • An announcement of Nikita Bier's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
  • This market's primary resolution source will be official information from X and/or Nikita Bier, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikita Bier ceases to be Head of Product of X for any length of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • An announcement of Nikita Bier's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
  • This market's primary resolution source will be official information from X and/or Nikita Bier, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.