PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Up
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Up 100%+50.0pt
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$509.5
Liquidity
$726.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 24, 26, 12:10 PMAug 25, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on August 25, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on August 25, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 25, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+66.0pt95.2%
- 83° to 84°-46.0pt1%
- 89° or above-6.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $490.2K
- 24h Vol
- $439.7K
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+4.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+4.0pt99%
- $68,500 or above+2.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 25, 2026?
- New Orleans+15.0pt81.8%
- Oklahoma City-12.0pt1.6%
- Atlanta-2.0pt1.6%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $359.9K
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above98%
- $74,250 or above98%
- $75,000 or above97%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $308.4K
- 24h Vol
- $302.8K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
- 65-89+19.5pt63.3%
- 40-64-2.5pt34.7%
- 90-114-14.9pt2%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-1.0pt10.6%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.3pt10.6%
- 70,000 to 74,999.998.7%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.1M
- Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
- Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 25, 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of August?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Denver on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Aug 25, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 25??
- Polymarket prices Up at 100% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 25? resolve?
- Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 25? is scheduled to resolve on August 25, 2026.
- How is Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 25? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on August 25, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.