Current implied probability
New York Red Bulls 45.5%+0.5ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$816.2
Liquidity
$72.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
31.0% / 32.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spread7d Change
-11.5 pts
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 19, 26, 4:00 PMAug 1, 26, 11:30 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
New York Red Bulls46%
Compare venues· Orlando
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 32% | 0pt | $816.2 | $72.9K | 18 minutes ago | |
 Gemini64% match · auto | Low | 33% | +1pt | $0 | $0 | 38 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Gemini
Orlando vs New York
3d
45.5%
32.2%
22.3%
46 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
GEMINIRules
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, August 1, 2026 between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$816Jul 264d of dataJul 29
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This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, August 1, 2026 between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC.