Current implied probability
Soto 99%+0.4pt
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$225.2
Liquidity
$5.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.7% / 2.0%
Spread
1.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 22, 26, 8:07 PM UTCSep 28, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
Open markets
Baseball
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+46.0pt88.1%
- Philadelphia-46.0pt11.9%
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
- $3.3M
KALSHILos Angeles A vs Boston
- Los Angeles A+48.0pt91%
- Boston-49.0pt9%
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
- $2.3M
KALSHINew York M vs Miami
- New York M+45.0pt90.1%
- Miami-45.0pt9.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHICleveland vs Baltimore
- Cleveland+25.0pt70.3%
- Baltimore-25.0pt29.7%
- Total Vol
- $1.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
POLYMARKETColorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees
- NRFI+51.5pt100%
- 2.5+24.9pt100%
- O/U 5.572%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIColorado vs New York Y
- New York Y+11.0pt85.2%
- Colorado-11.0pt14.8%
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
- Arizona vs Kansas City
- Tampa Bay vs Atlanta
- Cincinnati vs Los Angeles D
- Colorado vs New York Y: Total Runs
- Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS
- Minnesota vs Detroit
- Houston vs Philadelphia: Total Runs
- September 8 Cleveland vs Baltimore
- Chicago C vs Milwaukee
- Colorado vs New York Y: Spread
- September 8 New York M vs Miami
- Los Angeles A vs Boston: Total Runs
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks??
- Polymarket prices Soto at 99% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? resolve?
- MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? is scheduled to resolve on September 28, 2026.
- How is MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto.