KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYordan Álvarez 75%Leader of 41 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$19.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
70.0% / 76.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Feb 2, 26, 3:00 PMDec 8, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yordan Álvarez75%
Compare venues· Nick Kurtz
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall90% match · verified | Medium | 8% | 0pt | $23.2 | $118.1K | 6 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 11% | +3pt | $5 | $19.5K | 26 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner
4.0 pts3mo
+4.0pt77.3%
-2.0pt8.3%
6.2%
+38 more outcomes
69 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$413.7K
24h Vol$23.2
POLYMARKETRules
If Aaron Judge wins the Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Bobby Witt Jr. wins the Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Cal Raleigh wins the Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Vladimir Guerrero Jr. wins the Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$5Jul 227d of dataJul 28
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If Aaron Judge wins the Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Bobby Witt Jr. wins the Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Cal Raleigh wins the Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Vladimir Guerrero Jr. wins the Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.