Current implied probability
Jacob Misiorowski 73.3%+11.2ptLeader of 69 outcomes
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$67.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.4% / 8.5%
Spread
1.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
-10.6 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Feb 19, 26, 3:26 AMNov 12, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Jacob Misiorowski74%
Compare venues· Jacob Misiorowski
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 74% | 0pt | $1.3K | $67.7K | 3 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active85% match · verified | Medium | 76% | +2pt | $34.6K | $1.9M | 23 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
NL Cy Young Winner?
11.0 pts4mo
+11.0pt76%
-2.0pt9%
-2.0pt9%
+43 more outcomes
74 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.8M
24h Vol$34.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules.
- If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.5k99.0%KALSHIShohei Ohtani — No8d ago
KALSHIShohei Ohtani — No8d ago$1.1k92.0%KALSHIZack Wheeler — No11d ago
KALSHIZack Wheeler — No11d ago$4.2k93.0%KALSHIZack Wheeler — No14d ago
KALSHIZack Wheeler — No14d ago$2.8k97.0%KALSHIYoshinobu Yamamoto — No21d ago
KALSHIYoshinobu Yamamoto — No21d agoVolume trend
$1.3kJul 226d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules.
- If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.