Current implied probability
Jacob Misiorowski 74%+6.0%Leader of 46 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$50.8K
Liquidity
$1.7M
High liquidityBid / Ask
73.0% / 74.0%
Spread
1.4%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Feb 2, 26, 3:00 PMDec 8, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Jacob Misiorowski74%
Compare venues· Jacob Misiorowski
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageMost active | 74% | +6pt | $50.8K | $1.7M | 14 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket | 68% | 0pt | $1.7K | $66.2K | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner
0.3%4mo
-1.9%68%
+0.5%12%
+5.5%6%
+66 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1M
24h Vol$1.7K
POLYMARKETRules
If Paul Skenes wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Yoshinobu Yamamoto wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Cristopher Sanchez wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Hunter Greene wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Chris Sale wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blake Snell wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$50.8kJul 27d of dataJul 8
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If Paul Skenes wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Yoshinobu Yamamoto wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Cristopher Sanchez wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Hunter Greene wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Chris Sale wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blake Snell wins the Pro Baseball National League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.