PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
12°C 30%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$157.3
Liquidity
$5.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
35.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 16, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 15?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Wellington on September 15?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Wellington on September 16?
PolymarketWhere will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Minneapolis+16.0pt98%
- Houston-4.0pt40%
- Miami-1.0pt38%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $95.3K
- 24h Vol
- $92K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- 79° to 80°44.3%
- 81° to 82°31.9%
- 83° or above13.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.9K
- 24h Vol
- $70.9K
POLYMARKETHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- 14–16-1.0pt48.5%
- 17–19+2.0pt31.3%
- 11–13-0.5pt14.1%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- 74° to 75°63.9%
- 76° to 77°29.6%
- 78° to 79°3.7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $50.6K
- 24h Vol
- $50.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 14, 2026?
- 92° to 93°42.6%
- 90° to 91°42.6%
- 88° to 89°9.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $22.1K
- 24h Vol
- $21.8K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-0.3pt50%
- SpaceX+2.0pt49%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+9 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 15?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 15?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 16??
- Polymarket prices 12°C at 30% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 16? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 16? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 16? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.