PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 11°C
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 11:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
11°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 7:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
11°C98%
10°C48%
12°C1%
13°C0%
14°C0%
15°C1%
16°C or higher1%
6°C or below1%
7°C1%
8°C0%
9°C0%
11°CWon
10°CLost
12°CLost
13°CLost
14°CLost
15°CLost
16°C or higherLost
6°C or belowLost
7°CLost
8°CLost
9°CLost
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Wellington Intl Airport (NZWN) on 23 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Wellington Intl Airport (NZWN) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
