PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 20°C
Resolved: Oct 30, 2026, 10:37 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
20°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 4:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
20°C97%
16°C50%
18°C49%
19°C49%
17°C11%
14°C10%
15°C10%
13°C or below0%
21°C0%
22°C0%
23°C or higher0%
20°CWon
13°C or belowLost
14°CLost
15°CLost
16°CLost
17°CLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
21°CLost
22°CLost
23°C or higherLost
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KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG) on 30 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.