PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 13, 2026, 6:47 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
10°C or below 38%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 12, 26, 12:29 PM UTCSep 14, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 13?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 13?
PolymarketWill the lowest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) be below 71 F on September 12, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) be below 68 F on September 12, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) be below 70 F on September 12, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
- 81° to 82°+73.0pt95.2%
- 85° or above-20.0pt1%
- 83° to 84°-47.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $486.6K
- 24h Vol
- $441.7K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
- Seattle+21.0pt99%
- Atlanta+13.0pt99%
- Boston-1.0pt4%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $471.3K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 13, 2026?
- New York City99%
- Trenton99%
- Newark99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $114.1K
- 24h Vol
- $111.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Denver on Sep 12, 2026?
- 79° or below+86.0pt87.6%
- 80° to 81°-4.0pt8.8%
- 82° to 83°-56.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
- 31°C+58.0pt66.7%
- 32°C+23.6pt27.4%
- 30°C-16.5pt4.9%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 13?
- 33°C+18.0pt50%
- 34°C+18.0pt47.2%
- 35°C-2.0pt2.8%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 13, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 81 F on September 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 14??
- Polymarket prices 10°C or below at 38% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 14? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 14? is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 14? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.