PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
10°C or below 50%+22.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$71.2
Liquidity
$24.6K
Medium liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 12:29 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
- 81° to 82°+73.0pt95.2%
- 85° or above-20.0pt1%
- 83° to 84°-47.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $486.6K
- 24h Vol
- $441.7K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
- Seattle+21.0pt99%
- Atlanta+13.0pt99%
- Boston-1.0pt4%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $471.3K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 13, 2026?
- New York City99%
- Trenton99%
- Newark99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $114.1K
- 24h Vol
- $111.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Denver on Sep 12, 2026?
- 79° or below+86.0pt87.6%
- 80° to 81°-4.0pt8.8%
- 82° to 83°-56.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
- 31°C+58.0pt66.7%
- 32°C+23.6pt27.4%
- 30°C-16.5pt4.9%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 13?
- 33°C+18.0pt50%
- 34°C+18.0pt47.2%
- 35°C-2.0pt2.8%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 13, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 81 F on September 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 13??
- Polymarket prices 10°C or below at 50% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 13? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 13? is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 13? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.