PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 56-57°F
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 8:25 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
56-57°F
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 8:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
56-57°F100%
52-53°F48%
54-55°F48%
46-47°F47%
48-49°F50%
45°F or below45%
50-51°F50%
58-59°F1%
60-61°F0%
62-63°F1%
64°F or higher1%
56-57°FWon
52-53°FLost
54-55°FLost
46-47°FLost
48-49°FLost
45°F or belowLost
50-51°FLost
58-59°FLost
60-61°FLost
62-63°FLost
64°F or higherLost
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on 23 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
