PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 5°C
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 11:19 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
5°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
59%
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
5°C98%
4°C4%
0°C or below1%
1°C1%
2°C1%
10°C or higher1%
3°C1%
6°C38%
7°C0%
8°C17%
9°C1%
5°CWon
0°C or belowLost
10°C or higherLost
1°CLost
2°CLost
3°CLost
4°CLost
6°CLost
7°CLost
8°CLost
9°CLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Paris-Le Bourget Airport (LFPB) on 31 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Paris-Le Bourget Airport (LFPB) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.
